Only one of those players was over 30: Fitzgerald, who had basically reformed his career into that of a possession receiver, dropping from 8.1 yards per target and 13.9 YPC between ages 21 and 28, to 6.9 yards per target and 10.7 YPC over ages 29-37. On a side note, the fact that he wont even be 24 to start his fourth NFL season is absurd. Injuries have hindered Green over the last two seasons, but the Bengals are hopeful he can bounce back at age 32 this season. 6 years later, we're still trying to figure out HOW @obj made this catch. Turning 29 has not been kind: Wide receivers showing rapid decline, Rams facilities given a D+ grade in NFLPA survey, In a recent NFLPA survey, the Rams facilities were given a D+ grade by the players. Ill start this out by saying that Alexander has had his fair share of losses at the catch point, which is why his grading has been good but not great thus far, but hes one of the more aggressive and skilled cornerbacks in the NFL when it comes to making plays on the ball. From a talent standpoint, the NFL is in a good place. Now that we know a wide receiver essentially loses his elite upside when he turns 32, what about performing as a consistent WR1 for your fantasy team? Next year is a big year for JuJu to prove last season was an aberration, but were going to give him the benefit of the doubt after two strong seasons to open his career. . Finally, the drop off isnt as steep as we might have thought. For 225 PPR fantasy points per year (roughly top-24 production), the average age was 27 with 80% of peak seasons falling within the age range of, Although the sample sizes for NFL wide receivers grows smaller as age increases, readers can apply this data to fantasy drafts because Mike Tagliere shows that wide receivers do not significantly decline until the age of, For truly elite (250+ PPR points) production, 68% of elite seasons are from players between the ages of. If there was ever a receiver in the last three years who you would expect to potentially meet the Randy Moss, Jerry Rice line, its Julio Jones. Emailed daily. Is there a player falling down draft boards due to his age and perceived drop-off? He doesn't often Tweet, but when he does, you can find him on Twitter @sethroto. 2021 Projection: 29 receptions / 387 yards / 2 . What wide receivers are 29 years old? Top-24? And that is what has made him the most valuable player in the NFL over the last two seasons by nearly a full win above replacement. He appeared in 16 games, catching 34 passes for 571 yards. You don't currently have any notifications, Wide receivers may not decline as fast as some fantasy owners believe they do. Barkleys inclusion on this list is based on the obvious talent he showcased as a rookie in 2018 rather than the relatively disappointing, injury-plagued sophomore campaign we saw from him this past season. Williams has very quietly played like one of the best safeties in the NFL over the last three seasons. Johnson then had 1,492 yards the following year, but missed two games. The gregarious Kelce has established himself as one of the elite tight ends in football over seven seasons. Running Backs Down from 26-percent only a couple of years earlier. Of the 69 wide receivers to play at age 29, weve watched 11.6 percent of them finish as a top-five fantasy option, the highest mark on the chart, putting the idea that wide receivers fall off at age 28 to bed. For truly elite (250+ PPR points) production, 68% of elite seasons are from players between the ages of 23-26, and 87% take place prior to a player turning 29. 29 year old wide receivers in the afc. Jordan was one of the Saints' most popular players, establishing quite a track record in nine seasons. One question to ponder is where Kupp will be ranked in two years; another is whether or not the top-ranked player in two years is even in the NFL yet. Going into the 2021 season, PFF ranked the top-32 wide receivers in the NFL and I want to highlight some of those names with updates on how their 2021 season is going: Of the 15 wide receivers on PFFs preseason list from this year who were over or nearing 30 (Davante Adams was ranked first and coincidentally today is his 29th birthday), I would argue that at least 12 have been disappointing for one reason or another. Height: 5'9 Position: Wide Receiver; Coming in at number 9, Wesley Carter Welker is a former American football pro who played for 11 seasons in the NFL. Even then, you can likely get WR2 or WR3 production, as they have just as good of a shot as everyone else. Thats what happens when a wide receiver challenges for MVP and Offensive Player of the Year; its not like being Aaron Donald or a quarterback, very few players lead the NFL in receiving more than once. Is there a player falling down draft boards due to his age and perceived drop-off? As you can see, the prime age for a receiver to finish top-five at his position is at 29 years of age. He's entering his age 30 season. He's made two Pro Bowls in four years and had a solid 2019 season at age 30. It's no coincidence that the Saints run defense improved markedly after Davis was added in 2018. Which is quite a statement. Jackson still wasnt a beacon of accuracy, but when you bring the dynamic ability he does as a runner, that simply doesnt matter as much. | Hilton. Matthew Slater is the oldest wide receiver this season. Rice caught 1,023 career passes after turning 30: Skip forward to 2009, a decade after the GSOT, when Game of Throws became Game of Thrones, elder statesmen wideouts were still able to thrive in the NFL. The Ravens have one of the most talented secondaries in the NFL, and Humphrey has been a big part of that group. With the speed Houston now has in its wide receiver room, that figures to be something they could feature heavily in 2020. Blame it on injuries if you want to, the fact is that one OBJ case would be an exception; when there isnt a single 30+ OBJ in the league, it means that the rule says: You cant be a wide receiver over 30 anymore. If this chart wont do it, nothing will. He turns 32 in November. Surely these players would be valuable for many more seasons to come, if history was any indication of what we could expect in the future. (via @NFLonCBS) Special. The 31-year-old has made six consecutive Pro Bowls and finished last season with 99 catches for 1,394 yards and six touchdowns. Big Ben is coming back in 2020 after missing most of 2019 to an elbow injury. That could certainly be part of it, but the truth is there were other contributing factors from injury to brutal quarterback play on the least efficient offense in the NFL that also played a role. Its hard to understate how impressive three consecutive seasons of 80.0 overall grades out of the gate is for a player like Garrett. Mahomes is among the five best quarterbacks in the NFL in negatively graded throw rate since 2018. Kupp has a salary cap hit of $18.3 million next season and he isnt going anywhere. Adams has earned grades of 75.0 or higher as a run defender, tackler, pass-rusher and coverage defender in each of the past two seasons at times even serving as the Jets best edge rusher. He forced 42 missed tackles as a runner in 2019, more than double that of the next closest quarterback (Josh Allen, 20). Depending on what you want/need out of them, they really dont decline until theyre 33 years old. It is also why a general manager drafts Van Jefferson, Tutu Atwell, Jacob Harris, and Ben Skowronek in a two-year span, likely followed by more receiver picks in 2022 and 2023. Cooper Kupp is the best wide receiver in the NFL this year. Hilton (32), Antonio Brown (33), A.J. A couple key nuggets that you need to know before we get started. Youll take that as an NFL team 10 times out of 10. In fact, their prime might be in-between 29 and 31. Players who are age-32 and beyond this season are: Golden Tate, Emmanuel Sanders, and Julian Edelman. Jackson doesnt get enough appreciation for how solid hes been to start his NFL career. After earning grades of 81.9 in 2017 and 80.4 in 2018, Godwin took his game one step further this past season, breaching the elite at the position. Heyward is entering his age 31 season. Jones is already a five-time Pro Bowler, and he led the NFL with 136 receptions in 2015. Hes, been particularly dangerous over the middle of the field, . Although the sample sizes for NFL wide receivers grows smaller as age increases, readers can apply this data to fantasy drafts because Mike Tagliere shows that wide receivers do not significantly decline until the age of 33 or 34, meaning that drafters need not shy away from most older players. Green, Golden Tate, Doug Baldwin, Dez Bryant. A rational Saints fan would have said the same about Michael Thomas after he had 149 catches and 1,725 yards in 2019. This time last season, there were still a lot of questions about Jackson as a passer, but he answered some of those in 2019 with an 82.5 PFF passing grade that ranked sixth among qualifiers. AZ, CO, CT, IL, IN, IA, KS, LA, (select parishes), MD, MI, NH, NJ, NY, OH, OR, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY, CA-ONT only.Eligibility restrictions apply. Get the comprehensive list of every Wide Receiver for each NFL pro football team When will Rams pick center of the future? Consider not only the career lifespans of players like Rice and Moss, who we know transcend almost all other receivers to come along in the last 50 years, but also the likes of really really good wideouts like Reggie Wayne, Hines Ward, Donald Driver, and Derrick Mason: Before we even get to the modern era, Ill pose this question to you: Do you expect Cooper Kupp to play 14 seasons with the Rams? Patrick Peterson, CB, Cardinals. This chart clearly shows that a wide receiver holds tons of value through his age-31 season, though thats where we start to see a drop-off in elite production. But maybe the next generation of 30+ receivers was just starting to come into their own in 2017. There have been trade talks and speculation surrounding Adams as he awaits a contract extension, but he deserves to get paid. Youve stumbled upon the correct article. In 2019 alone, he played 75 or more snaps at edge defender, in the box, in the slot and deep at free safety, and he did it all well. Over eight seasons with the Chargers, Ingram has 49 sacks, including 24.5 sacks over the last three years. Most Receiving Yards Among 29 Year Old Receivers This Season | StatMuse most receiving yards among 29 year old receivers this season Stefon Diggs had the most yards on receptions by a 29-year-old wide receiver in 2022, with 1,429 yards. To be as dominant as Nelson has been at his age is a rarity in the NFL. Copyright 2023 YB Media, LLC. Bosa did things as a rookie that we havent seen since the PFF era began in 2006. Slot vs. Then something interesting happened in 2017: the number of 1,000-yard wideouts dropped from 23 to 13. So the percentage of 1,000-yard wideouts went from 12.5-percent in 2010 to 26.3-percent in 2012, but then fell back to 13-percent in 2013. He did much of the same upon his return to the field in 2019 (82.5 overall grade), and its hard to see him not playing at that same level next season. He's hoping to rebound from a down age 30 season, when he recorded eight sacks in 15 games. Gone are the days when two-receiver sets were the staple of the NFL , as t eams lining up in trips, four-wideout looks . What trends have we seen in the last 10 years of football? His accomplished career includes two MVPs, one Super Bowl and eight Pro Bowls. Godwin was another easy choice here. We use cookies and other tracking technologies to improve your browsing experience on our site, show personalized content and targeted ads, analyze site traffic, and understand where our audiences come from. To learn more or opt-out, read our Cookie Policy. From ages 25-30, Jones consistently crossed over 1,400 yards and he averaged: 103 receptions, 1,564 yards, 6 TDs. Below is a list of age 30+ wide receivers and where they finish in PPG in 2020 vs. 2021 ADP for redraft. That mainly comes down to the fact that getting Chubb to the ground has been much easier said than done. Brown and McLaurin. If youre in a dynasty league and nobody wants those players, take advantage of that. He was arguably football's best tight end prior to retiring, with four All-Pro designations in nine seasons as a great receiver and elite blocker. Jones needs little introduction as one of the most explosive wideouts in the NFL. One of the biggest ones Id questioned was the timeline in which a player declined. When drafting a wide receiver in the early rounds, you want to ensure they can not only live up to their draft position, but hopefully exceed it. Like Jamal Adams, James is a versatile defender who can produce high-quality play in all phases of the game, as evidenced by his 80.0-plus grades in run defense, coverage and as a blitzer as a rookie. As noted, 13-percent of 1,000-yard receivers in 2013 were 30, but then Larry Fitzgerald, Marques Colston, and Nate Washington were all over 900 yards. His 16 forced missed tackles after the catch were a top-five mark at the position, as well. Watson isnt without his faults namely his penchant for holding on to the ball too long and inviting pressure upon himself but that shouldnt detract from the fact that he has been one of the leagues best quarterbacks over the last two seasons, ranking seventh in PFF grade among qualifiers over that period. Ill use a combination of FootballOutsiders DYAR (Defense-adjusted Yards Above Average) and regular yards to include eight more players and their current age: While we can quibble of the names who are on and the ones who are not (Marquise Brown, Michael Pittman, DK Metcalf, Tee Higgins, Darnell Mooney, A.J. Ingram has now made three consecutive Pro Bowls as he embarks on his age 31 season. Ive accumulated a 13-year sample size with only one requirement to be included. Hilton was the Wide Receiver 22 weeks 9-17. Nelson was about as easy an NFL projection as you can get coming out of Notre Dame, and its no surprise that he has wasted no time in cementing his spot as one of the best guards in the NFL. What we end up seeing is a lot of stability over the years. Read about the tight ends here. He made the Pro Bowl at age 29, but Baldwin was not the same player at 30 and he never played in the NFL again after that season. 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